HDR UK South-West Seminar Series: Use of applied research to support Demand and Capacity modelling in the BNSSG healthcare system (55:24)

In many ways, the NHS is just a system of queues, whose timing and magnitude depends on the balance between demand and capacity. Queueing time affects patient experience and outcomes and is routinely measured against key performance metrics, e.g., the 4-hour ED target. Quantifying the impact to these performance metrics of possible decisions relating to demand and capacity is important for effective healthcare management. To this end, computational modelling and scenario analysis can be a valuable asset. Yet, many problems in the healthcare domain are complex, and can require equivalently sophisticated solutions. This and the numerous gaps in the scientific literature combine to provide a rich environment for novel applied research.

In this talk, Richard Wood from NHS Bristol, North Somerset and South Gloucestershire Integrated Care Board will provide some examples of how they have approached Demand and Capacity modelling for applied research initiatives in the Bristol, North Somerset and South Gloucestershire healthcare system. He will end by discussing the potential for related undertakings given the forthcoming publication of the NHS’s 10 year plan.